What if you could predict an electric or hydrogen vehicle’s residual value down to the last mile? With global EV and FCEV fleets projected to grow by more than 20% annually through 2030, the stakes for financiers have never been higher. Questions around battery health, operational performance, and true asset value are keeping lenders on the sidelines – and slowing the transition to cleaner transport.
However, telematics, the enabling technology for Connected Vehicles, has emerged as a critical solution to serve as the connecting bridge between stakeholders across the eMobility ecosystem by providing transparent, verifiable data on vehicle performance and condition. The latest developments are around technical reliability and quality of data, which has reached a level of maturity that allows seamless integration with commercial and organizational information: the technology can now be used to automatically trigger business decisions on a broad scale (for example Pay-per-use models like carsharing, eScooter rentals “on the go”, etc.)
Telematics data has the potential to transform fleet deployment, create new opportunities for collaboration, and facilitate trust between stakeholders. Financing can be a key enabler while using telematics data.
The financing challenge for next-generation fleets
The shift toward electric and hydrogen-powered fleets represents one of the most significant transitions in transportation history. However, finance companies remain hesitant to fund these new technology fleets due to substantial unknowns regarding long-term performance and residual values.
Unlike traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles with decades of performance data, electric vehicles introduce new variables, particularly around battery degradation and charging infrastructure which create uncertainty for lenders.
This uncertainty can manifest in more conservative lending practices, higher interest rates, or shorter financing terms, all of which impede the broader adoption of sustainable transport solutions. Financial institutions require reliable, real-time data to assess risks accurately and provide competitive financing terms that make electric and hydrogen fleet acquisition feasible for transport operators.
Battery health: The critical unknown
At the center of EV financing uncertainty lies the question of battery health and longevity. Understanding and accurately assessing battery condition is crucial for determining the long-term value and reliability of electric vehicles.
As Nicola Zingraf Bolton, Head of Physical Asset Data at DLL, notes, "With telematics, it is possible to monitor battery health in a lot of detail. Manufacturers who are bringing EVs to market today use telematics to monitor battery health. This monitoring is essential, not only for manufacturers' warranty validation, but also for financiers assessing asset value over time.”
Battery performance data, including charge cycle count, charging patterns, and degradation rates, provides critical insights that can help predict an EV's operational lifespan and future value. However, as Zingraf Bolton points out, "One of our industry challenges as a financing company is, OEMs don't necessarily share this data with the outside world, yet. It is considered a little bit of a secret sauce." This information asymmetry creates significant barriers to efficient financing.
Creating data transparency between OEMs and financiers
For financing companies, telematics offers a window into actual vehicle usage and health condition rather than relying solely on manufacturer claims or historical data from different brands. However, the current landscape requires data collection from multiple sources.
As Zingraf-Bolton explains: "We need to gather information from two different sources when we're looking to finance an asset; from the classic fleet telematics and the battery management system (BMS), which gives us more detailed insight on battery usage."
This dual-source approach highlights an industry in transition, where data integration remains a work in progress. For optimal risk assessment, financing companies need comprehensive data sets that combine traditional operating metrics with battery-specific performance indicators.
Key data points for risk assessment
Several critical data points emerge as particularly valuable for financiers assessing EV and hydrogen fleet performance:
- Battery health metrics: Cycle counts, depth of discharge patterns, and degradation rates provide insights into the most valuable component of an EV.
- Charging behaviors: How frequently and at which power levels vehicles are charged significantly impacts battery longevity. If drivers are not charging the asset correctly, it can be detrimental to the battery health.
- Geographical usage patterns: Where a vehicle is operating influences battery performance and overall wear. Different climates and terrains can dramatically affect EV efficiency and component degradation.
- Load profiles: For commercial vehicles, the weight and type of cargo significantly impact performance. It makes a difference if you haul a truckload of steel coils or locally distribute fresh produce.
These data points, when properly analyzed, allow financiers to develop more sophisticated risk models that account for the unique characteristics of electric and hydrogen vehicles.
Startups vs. established players: The technology advantage
The EV ecosystem includes both traditional automotive manufacturers transitioning to electric platforms and new startups building EV-native vehicles. This dynamic creates interesting competitive dimensions that telematics data can help address.
The technology edge and its limitations
Startups in the EV space often begin with significant technological advantages. As Zingraf-Bolton observes, "Startups usually have a huge advantage. They start with the technology of today versus established companies who work with legacy technology that they continue to evolve." This clean-slate approach allows new companies to build software-defined vehicles with sophisticated connected capabilities from the ground up.
However, technology alone doesn't guarantee success. Zingraf-Bolton highlights a common challenge: "Startups have a lot of ideas on what you can do with the data. But the customers, the buyers of these vehicles, are usually not as tech-savvy. If a startup's business application is not sound and doesn’t directly address their customers’ needs, they lose a lot of their advantage."
Translating data into customer value
For both, startups and established manufacturers, the key challenge lies in converting raw telematics data into actionable business intelligence that demonstrates clear value to end users. Raw data has limited value unless it can be interpreted in ways that improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, or enhance performance.